No, AI is not Making Engineers 10x as Productive

Claims that AI can make engineers 10 times more productive are likely exaggerated. While AI-assisted development tools like LLMs can significantly speed up coding tasks, this is only one component of a software engineer's overall work. The author estimates a personal productivity boost of 2-5x specifically on coding, but agrees that bottlenecks in other areas of software development make a total 10x increase unrealistic for most. Ultimately, while AI provides a notable productivity gain, it doesn't translate to a tenfold improvement across the entire job.